5G commercial, spectrum first. As the game for the benefit of spectrum resources enters the final stage, the time for landing has become increasingly clear.
A reporter from China Business News recently received news from people familiar with the matter that China's 5G spectrum will be announced soon, and with the finalization of the spectrum plan, 5G licenses will also be released at the end of this year or early next year. "Currently, the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology has reported to higher-level departments." The person said that there are still uncertainties in the final number of licenses issued, which may change from three to four, but from the timetable, the issuance time will not be too late.
According to the spectrum report issued by GSA in July 2018, although not many countries have officially issued 5G licenses, at least 89 5G-related spectrum auctions are scheduled to be issued during the year. From the perspective of global deployment rhythms, the United States has already made efforts on high-frequency millimeter waves. Commercial use will begin at the end of 2018. Starting in 2019, the United Kingdom, South Korea, Japan, Australia, etc. will also implement 5G commercial use on the C-band.
Judging from the situation in China, the three major domestic operators have announced plans for 5G pilot cities, and terminal manufacturers are also "grabbing the gate" for the first wave of bonuses for 5G mobile phones. At Qualcomm’s 4G/5G Summit, Qualcomm President Cristiano Amon told reporters that there are currently at least 18 operators globally and Qualcomm jointly planning 5G early deployment, and more than 20 OEMs will adopt Qualcomm’s 5G solution. plan. Vivo, OPPO, Huawei, Xiaomi and other mobile phone manufacturers have previously stated that they will launch 5G pre-commercial mobile phones in 2019.
5G mobile phone opened in the first year
In the smartphone market where the growth rate is slowing down, the approach of 5G trial commercialization is like a stimulant, gradually activating the market, and the warm-up track is already crowded with players.
Looking at the market, many mobile phone manufacturers have announced plans for 5G-related layouts. For example, Huawei stated that it will launch 5G-enabled smartphones in June 2019, while Xiaomi, OPPO, and vivo have previously stated that they have successfully opened up 5G signaling and data link connections.
"Vivo will complete the R&D and mass production of the world's first batch of NSA and SA 5G mobile phones in 2019, launch the first 5G pre-commercial mobile phone, and will truly realize the commercial use of 5G smartphones in 2020." In the above-mentioned sub-forum of the Qualcomm Summit In, the director of the vivo Global AI Research Institute announced the launch time of the latest 5G mobile phone. He said that vivo has initially completed the development of commercial 5G smartphone software and hardware, including architecture planning, motherboard stacking, radio frequency and antenna design, and optimization of battery space, and it has also reached commercial use in terms of size and appearance. level. In August of this year, vivo based on the latest flagship mobile phone vivo NEX platform, initially completed the development of 5G smart phone software and hardware for commercial use, and commissioned 5G connections in the laboratory.
Surroundings believe that in the entire 5G network commercial process, the maturity of the terminal is crucial to the early development process of the 5G industry. "Vivo's NEX 5G terminal supports dual LTE and NR connections in NSA mode, which means that 5G mobile phones can connect to the 5G new air interface and the network at the same time while connecting to 4G."
"The global mainstream operators have invested billions of dollars in network deployment to prepare for the realization of 5G commercial use in 2019. In the first half of next year, the outside world will see the launch of 5G-enabled Android flagship phones in different regions." Christiano Amon told reporters that 5G will be a very large potential service market. It is estimated that by 2020, its products and technologies will cover a broad market of about 100 billion U.S. dollars. According to analysts, in the 5G era, mobile phones are expected to become the core "connectors" and continue to dominate the mobile terminal market.
Wang Yanhui, secretary-general of the Mobile Alliance, told reporters that 5G mobile phones are faster and can meet the needs of more applications in terms of latency, such as games, office, and AR applications. On the other hand, products carried by 5G can provide a more immersive experience, as well as voice interaction, holographic projection, and 3D modeling. "Just like the early stage of the 3G era in the early years, the mobile industry is currently thinking and exploring new application scenarios."
"The in-depth integration of 5G and artificial intelligence will become the trend of the 5G mobile phone era. We define it as 5G smartphones. Artificial intelligence gives mobile phones the ability to learn and think, and 5G gives mobile phones more powerful communication capabilities." The surroundings told reporters. , 5G has given birth to new application forms, and future mobile phones will be smart phones with “self-learning, self-indexing, and self-recommendationâ€.
In interviews with reporters, many mobile phone manufacturers defined 2019 as the launch year of 5G mobile phones, and killer applications will also appear in the first half of next year.
Do domestic mobile phones have more opportunities for overtaking
In the global market, the market share of domestic mobile phones has exceeded 50%, and the share is still expanding. So in the 5G era, do domestic mobile phones have more opportunities for overtaking?
“It is expected that the global market share will expand to 54% by the end of this year.†Chinese brand manufacturers, including IDH, have grown rapidly in the past few years. Last year they began to break through the past smart phone market pattern led by international brands such as Korean and American brands. Covers more than half of the global market share. Yao Jiayang, an analyst at TrendForce, told reporters.
According to many analysts, the overall stagflation trend of the mobile phone industry will continue into 2020. However, 5G will become the biggest variable in the market structure. Canalys analyst Jia Mo told reporters that the pattern will change with the introduction of newer technologies and the development of 5G.
It is worth noting that in the 5G partner PPT displayed by Qualcomm this time, Apple did not appear, and when answering reporters about the cooperation with Apple on 5G, Qualcomm's statement was also very direct. "5G can provide the greatest value. Qualcomm is not investing in one or two manufacturers. Today, every Android phone manufacturer based on the top Snapdragon 800 series for terminal design is preparing for the launch of 5G products in 2019." Christian No Amon said.
In other words, if Apple does not launch 5G mobile phones next year, it will fall behind this trend.
In contrast, domestic mobile phone manufacturers have already deployed 5G technology a few years ago.
According to the reporter's understanding, Xiaomi set up a pre-research team before the 3GPP began to discuss the 5G standard, and started the research work on the 5G standard in advance. OPPO began to invest in the 5G field in 2015. In May of this year, the world's first 5G video call demonstration using 3D structured light technology was successfully realized, and the FPGA-based prototype verification platform successfully demonstrated the peak transmission rate of 1.4Gbps in downlink and 160Mbps in uplink, promoting the industry's new 5G applications and terminals Exploration of form. In 2016, vivo established a 5G R&D center in Beijing to participate in the research of 5G core technology standards.
In 2017, vivo became one of the mobile phone companies with the largest contribution to 3GPP technology, and initiated pre-research on key technologies of 5G antennas and radio frequency. In terms of the productization of 5G mobile phones, vivo also cooperates with telecom operators and chip solution manufacturers to jointly promote the development of 5G prototypes and commercial mobile phones. This year, vivo officially launched the development of 5G terminal test prototypes, and successfully completed the successful commissioning of the vivo 5G First call in August this year, and initially completed the development of commercial 5G smart phone software and hardware. On this basis, vivo plans to realize the demonstration of 5G communication applications based on mobile terminals in December.
"The single hardware selling method may be changed in the 5G era. More scenario exploration and the participation of partners will bring new variables to the mobile phone industry." Wang Yanhui told reporters that mobile phones are evolving from a single terminal product to a platform The integrated control center is also a new opportunity for mobile phone manufacturers under the slowdown of market growth.
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